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Forex Model Portfolios Tool

Forex Model Portfolios for FX Traders

Model portfolios are designed to assist traders with medium-term to long-term time horizons, with clear buy, sell and neutral ratings.

Each model portfolio is based on a different set of assumptions on how the market is going to behave. Is market trading activity going to be quiet and move in a range? Is the market trending?

Are there factors operating that will cause the market to jump around? To properly use model portfolios, you must choose the type of market. Descriptions on the types of model portfolios appear below.



Trending Markets  
A trending market is one in which overall direction of the currency pair is moving up or down.

Regardless of how one defines it, the goal of trend trading is the same - join the move early and hold the position until the trend reverses!

The basic mindset of trend trader is "Am I right or am I out?" The implied bet all trend traders make is that price will continue in its present direction. If it doesn't, there is little reason to hold onto the trade.

Therefore, trend traders typically trade with tight stops and often make many probative forays into the market in order to make the right entry. Trends can be thought of in varying lengths including short, intermediate and long term. If one can identify a trend, it can be highly profitable.

Ranging Markets  
Trading in such a price environment involves isolating currencies that are trading sideways in ranges (or channels), and then selling at the top of the channel and buying at the bottom of the channel.

True range traders don't care about direction. The underlying assumption of range trading is that no matter which way the currency travels, it will most likely return back to its point of origin. In fact, range traders bet on the possibility that prices will trade through the same levels many times, and the traders' goal is to harvest those oscillations for profit over and over again.

Swing Trading  
The swing trader's style stands between trend and contra-trend biases.

The swing trader will typically catch most of major trends but will get in the trend later than regular trend followers. The strength of the swing trader remains in his ability to switch from trending to non-trending biases.
Volatile Markets  
Volatile market conditions refer to a market that has no particular direction but has very large swings and reversals.

Traders look to take advantage of break-outs and large spikes. Unlike price which can sometimes trend for far longer than most market participants expect, volatility tends to be mean reverting.

As sure as day follows night, very quiet non-volatile periods in the market are followed by sudden bursts of activity and large price movement. Conversely after a prolonged trend move, prices open consolidate and spend a substantial amount of time channeling in a tight range as market players adjust to new price levels.



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