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Mini Forex Trading
Contest Winners for the Month of July 2005


Hailing from Thailand, the July King of the Mini managed an impressive 363% gain in his account! Download his trading statement to see how he did it, and read a breakdown of his best winning trade below!

The King of the Mini Contest awards cash prizes to the top five traders with the highest percentage monthly gains, who also get bragging rights for their respective countries!


Standing Country Name %Gain Prize Trading Record
1st Thailand W Luis 363% $2500 View Record
2nd USA S Chen 308% $1000 View Record
3rd SA C Shulman 273% $500 View Record
4th USA Anonymous 267% $250 View Record
5th UK J Kendall 179% $100 View Record
Over $4000 in cash prizes awarded monthly.Learn more about prizes/contest rules. Do you want to be King of the Mini? Open an Account.

Monthly Market Highlights

After falling for four consecutive months, the euro finally gained ground against the U.S. dollar in July. The pair closed just 19 pips higher than it opened on July 1st, but a range of 391 pips during the month of July presented plenty of profitable trading opportunities. The tragic events that took place in London on July 7 naturally caused the GBP to weaken against all major currencies, and the USD was also negatively affected as the possibility of similar incidents on US soil worried traders.

Prices stabilized prior to the announcement of US job growth numbers on July 8. Job growth was disappointing for the second month in a row, as only 146,000 jobs were created in June. The poor U.S. job numbers prompted a euro rally that lasted well into the following week. Another key economic indicator immediately reversed the euro rally. In May the US trade deficit narrowed to $55.3 billion, down $1.6 billion from April’s downwardly revised $56.9 billion trade deficit.





In a surprise announcement on July 21, the People's Bank of China said it would revalue the yuan (or the Renminbi, as the currency is also known) by 2.1%. The new system puts tight daily limits on changes in the yuan's value but could allow it to change substantially over time. The news caused sharp price movement in the FX market, particularly in JPY pairs. As China transitions to a freely floatable currency, the need for the country to purchase the massive amounts of US treasuries decreases significantly.

Since 18.5% of Chinese trade is with the European Union and 18% is with Japan, China will naturally be buyers of euros and Japanese yen. As the currency peg is moved from the dollar to a basket of currencies (details which are not known), China will sell dollars and buy the other currencies in order to create the basket. Because China holds the second largest amount of US treasuries, the implications of a diversification out of dollars are huge!


Trade of the Month


Successful traders trade with confidence; and this month’s king of the mini was no exception. Confident traders maximize their profits by identifying low risk opportunities where they are comfortable taking larger positions than they normally would, and more importantly, they know when to hold back and trade small.

Confidence comes with experience and focusing on a certain currency pair expedites the process. This may sound obvious, but a lot of traders attempt to trade too many pairs. This trader did trade a few pairs, but 73% of his trades were EUR/USD. This focus leads to a better understanding of when the pair is most active, as well as where significant support and resistance may lie.

Long at 1.1929, exit at 1.2160. Total gain: 231 pips

Multiple trades in which this trader booked 100+ pip gains reflect a solid understanding of how EUR/USD trades. After a great entry on July 4 at 1.1929, the pair rapidly climbed to 1.2200. Undoubtedly aware that EUR/USD had failed to break past this psychologically important level twice towards the end of June, profits were locked in at 1.2160 for a 231 pip gain!


MACD

MACD is a commonly used technical indicator derived from exponential moving averages that can be used in both momentum and range bound markets. Like RSI it is an oscillator plotted at the bottom of the chart, and it shows the momentum of the market relative to its recent history. When the MACD crosses the signal line, a trade signal is issued. Notice that the indicator generated a buy signal at 1.1916; very close to the 1.1929 entry.



 
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